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Tracking militarists’ efforts to influence U.S. foreign policy

Mehdi Khalaji

Washington Institute for Near East Policy: Senior Fellow

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Mehdi Khalaji is a senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP), a think tank that was originally spun off from the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC). A former theologian raised in the Shia holy city of Qom, Khalaji joined WINEP in 2005, where he frequently promotes regime change policies against Iran.[1]

Khalaji often participates in conferences and panel discussions hosted by neoconservative think tanks like the American Enterprise Institute and the Foreign Policy Initiative, appearing alongside fellow Iran-hawks like Reuel Gerecht, Ray Takeyh, William Kristol, and Frederick Kagan.[2] In 2007, he was named one of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies’ “leading thinkers” on “confronting the Iranian threat.”[3] His writings have also appeared on far-right and anti-Islamic outlets such as the Gatestone Institute.[4]

Khalaji is also the CEO of the Idea Center for Arts and Culture (IDEACAC), an organization that claims to facilitate “cultural dialogue and a local level understanding of the non-Western world.”[5]

Views on Iran

Khalaji regularly co-publishes with WINEP colleague Patrick Clawson, who has argued that the United States could instigate a war with Iran through a false flag operation like the Gulf of Tonkin incident.[6] In a 2012 article, the two writers argued that “Tehran believes it is in a strong position relative to the West and therefore sees little reason to be forthcoming in negotiations.” They added: “Ultimately, changing this mindset may require a profound shock of some sort, be it remarkably tough sanctions, more-complete political isolation, or military action.”[7]

During the negotiations leading up to the November 2013 interim nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1, Khalaji and Clawson argued for more pressure to be applied on Iran. “Israel, the Gulf states and Iranian democrats will be reassured only by vigorous U.S. actions to address their concerns: efforts to persuade allies to threaten more sanctions to show Iran how bad things would get in the absence of a more far-reaching permanent accord; efforts to shore up those resisting or opposing Iranian proxies such as Syrian President Bashar al-Assad; and efforts to put renewed muscle behind outreach in support of Iranian democracy,” Khalaji and Clawson contended.[8]

During the 2009 Green Movement protests in support of reformist presidential candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi, Khalaji called for increased U.S. intervention inside Iran despite the protestors’ insistence that foreign powers not interfere.[9] “I think it's not right to say that for United States or any Western country, ‘We don't want to interfere in Iranian internal affairs, we don't want to meddle with Iranian internal affairs,’” Khalaji said at a Foreign Policy Initiative panel discussion, “Why? Because every move—every move—even indifference of the United States and the West, would affect the internal situation in Iran.”[10]

Khalaji has in the past bemoaned the Iranian public’s tendency towards reform as opposed to revolution. “In Iran the term ‘revolution’ is typically associated with violence, while reformism is associated with non-violence. Unfortunately, these associations are not necessarily true,” he wrote in 2011. “Iranians have become wary of the word ‘revolution,’ as they equate the term with violence. I think, however, that one can exist without the other.”[11]

Contradictory Positions

Khalaji’s analysis of Iran’s domestic politics has at times appeared contradictory. In 2012, Khalaji espoused the idea that Iran’s Revolutionary Guards had fallen out of line with the Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. “What has really stoked the Revolutionary Guard's anger at Khamenei is that they see him as responsible for the tougher Western sanctions that have hurt their economic interests,” he wrote in the Wall Street Journal.[12]

Khalaji went on to recommend that the West reach out directly to the Guards in an effort to bypass and undermine Khamenei. “In this environment, any further effort to engage Khamenei would be futile. A wiser course would be to prepare now to open channels of communication with Revolutionary Guard leaders, who are surely busy planning ways to address the mounting pressure of international sanctions. These are the people who will determine Khamenei's successor and whose anger may even lead them to take the reins of the country before he dies,” he opined.[13]

After the election of President Hassan Rouhani in 2013, Khalaji sharply changed his tune and argued that Khamenei had decisive control over the Revolutionary Guards and that any change in the Guard’s behavior would have to come through Khamenei. According to Radio Free Europe, Khalaji “says the pragmatic Rohani knows that he shouldn't pull the IRGC's tail, because that would mean challenging Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to whom the IRGC answers directly.”[14]

Regarding President Rouhani’s efforts to deal with the Revolutionary Guards, Khalaji claimed: “His approach has been to refashion the IRGC's functions through the supreme leader—who is commander in chief of the entire armed forces—rather than taking independent initiative. This means convincing Khamenei to improve the economy by adjusting the IRGC's role in politics and business, limiting its influence over the public sector, and weakening its ability to compete with the private sector.”[15]

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Sources

[1] WINEP, “Mehdi Khalaji,” http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/experts/view/khalaji-mehdi#bio.

[2] AEI, “Iran unveiled: How the Revolutionary Guards is turning theocracy into military dictatorship,” April 23, 2013, http://www.aei.org/events/iran-unveiled-how-the-revolutionary-guards-is-turning-theocracy-into-military-dictatorship/.

FPI, “IRAN: STATE OF THE GREEN MOVEMENT,” http://www.foreignpolicyi.org/event/iran/greenmovement.

[3] FDD, “Leading Thinkers 2007: Confronting the Iranian Threat,” http://www.defenddemocracy.org/leading-thinkers-2007-confronting-the-iranian-threat/.

[4] Mehdi Khalaji, “Shiite Clerical Establishment Supports Khamenei,” Gatestone Institute, July 17, 2009, http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/672/shiite-clerical-establishment-supports-khamenei.

[5] Idea Center for Arts and Culture, http://ideacac.com/.

[6] WINEP, "How to Build U.S.-Israeli Coordination on Preventing an Iranian Nuclear Breakout," September 25, 2012, http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/how-to-build-u.s.-israeli-coordination-on-preventing-an-iranian-nuclear-bre.

[7] Patrick Clawson and Mehdi Khalaji, “Iran Confident As Sanctions Tighten,” WINEP, June 26, 2012, http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/iran-confident-as-sanctions-tighten.

[8] Patrick Clawson and Mehdi Khalaji, “Iranian consensus does not necessarily mean a good deal for the West,” The Washington Post, November 12, 2013,http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/iran-is-unlikely-to-take-the-path-the-west-hopes-it-will/2013/11/12/2eb713be-4b27-11e3-be6b-d3d28122e6d4_story.html.

[9] Daniel Larison, “The Ayatollahs’ Democracy: Western Misunderstanding of the Green Movement,” The American Conservative, July 23, 2011, http://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/the-ayatollahs-democracy-western-misunderstanding-of-the-green-movement/.

[10] FPI, “IRAN: STATE OF THE GREEN MOVEMENT,” http://www.foreignpolicyi.org/event/iran/greenmovement.

[11] Reza Akhlaghi, “A Candid Discussion with Ramin Jahanbegloo and Mehdi Khalaji,” Foreign Policy Association, November 15, 2011, http://foreignpolicyblogs.com/2011/11/15/a-candid-discussion-with-jahanbegloo-and-khalaji/.

[12] Mehdi Khalaji, “It’s Time to Bypass Iran’s ‘Supreme Leader,’” The Wall Street Journal, February 9, 2012, http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052970204369404577206973232126642.

[13] Mehdi Khalaji, “It’s Time to Bypass Iran’s ‘Supreme Leader,’” The Wall Street Journal, February 9, 2012, http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052970204369404577206973232126642.

[14] Golnaz Esfandiari, “Iran's President, Revolutionary Guards 'Enjoy Very Good Relations,’” Radio Free Europe, December 16, 2014, http://www.rferl.org/content/iran-rohani-irgc-have-good-relations/26747487.html.

[15] Golnaz Esfandiari, “Iran's President, Revolutionary Guards 'Enjoy Very Good Relations,’” Radio Free Europe, December 16, 2014, http://www.rferl.org/content/iran-rohani-irgc-have-good-relations/26747487.html.

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Mehdi Khalaji Résumé

Affiliations

  • Washington Institute for Near East Policy: Senior Fellow

Business

  • Idea Center for Arts and Culture: CEO

Education

  • Qom Seminary: Doctorate,Islamic Theology
  • Ecole Pratique des Hautes Etudes: Shiite theology and exegesis

Related:

Mehdi Khalaji News Feed

Tehran employs old and tested moves in Gulf crisis - The NationalIran's Hossein Salami: A top practitioner of psychological warfare - The NationalIran's attrition strategy pays off in Europe - The NationalThe problem with the U.S.-backed opposition outside Iran - The Washington PostBillions Of Dollars Involved In Two Corruption Trials In Iran - PayvandIran openly violates JCPOA - Australia-Israel Jewish Affairs CouncilExperts Bolster Washington Post Journalist's Case Against Iran - Courthouse News ServiceIran Asking Canada For Extradition Of Marjan Sheikholeslami In A Financial Case - PayvandRecord corruption scandal puts spotlight on Iranians in Iran, US - Al-MonitorAnalysis: Iran supreme leader comments signal strategy shift - Minneapolis Star TribuneIran Expert: Khamenei's 50-Year Plan Promotes Islamic Values, Rejects Western Ones - TheTower.orgInterview: Mehdi Khalaji - Foreign PolicyIran's Anti-Western 'Blueprint' For The Next Fifty Years - Breaking EnergyIran Won't Give Up on Its Revolution - New York TimesIran's supreme leader changes his tune on Rohani and Zarif - HaaretzNuclear Deal Was Not A Magic Wand For Rouhani - Iran In New Crisis - RadioFardaThe Mullahs' Chief Liar, and Their Most Effective Weapon - Washington Free BeaconOpinion | The election is over. But Iran's next big transition is coming sooner than you think. - The Washington PostThanks, Tom Cotton. You Just Got Us a Hard-line Supreme Leader. - PoliticoIran's Revolutionary Guards Corps, Inc. - Washington Institute for Near East Policy

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