Highlights
& Quotes
Bailey's National Institute for Public Policy (NIPP) was founded in the early 1980s by hawkish nuclear strategist and former Hudson Institute scholar Keith Payne, who was tapped to serve as a deputy assistant secretary of defense in the administration of George W. Bush.
Bailey was a member of the NIPP team -- headed by Payne -- that produced the January 2001 study, "Rationale and Requirements for Nuclear Forces and Arms Control," which many observers think served as a sort of blueprint for George W. Bush's controversial Nuclear Posture Review. (3) According to a report by the World Policy Institute, "The Bush Administration's Nuclear Posture Review" (NPR), released in January 2002, reflects the thinking of far-right conservative organizations and nuclear weapons contractors. The NPR drew many of its findings from a report released in January 2001 by the National Institute for Public Policy, entitled, "Rationale and Requirements for U.S. Nuclear Forces and Arms Control." In general, the NIPP report calls future security threats to the United States unknown and unpredictable. Therefore, the report concludes that the United States must maintain its nuclear arsenal, and the ability to design, build and test new nuclear weapons. The report asserts that conventional weapons are inadequate replacements for nuclear weapons because they do not have the same "destructive power." As a solution the report recommends the development of "low-yield, precision-guided nuclear weapons" -- in other words, a nuclear weapon the United States can actually use. The NIPP panel frowns on arms control treaties because, "U.S. policymakers today cannot know the strategic environment of 2005, let alone 2010 or 2020. There is no basis for expecting that the conditions that may permit deep nuclear reductions today will continue in the future." (10)
Bailey has been a rabid opponent of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. In a statement before the U.S. Senate Committee on Armed Services, Bailey stated that the treaty "could actually promote the spread of nuclear weapons, as well as enable Russia and others to modernize their arsenals while the US arsenal remains static. . Thus, the limited political benefits of the CTBT are not worth the high cost to our national security." (7) Most observers think the CTBT, which the U.S. Senate refused to ratify during the Clinton administration, would have the opposite impact -- namely, that it would help prevent the spread of nuclear weapons.
On
the other hand, Bailey also opposes elements of the Nuclear Nonproliferation
Treaty (NPT) because she thinks the treaty is not verifiable-- something
the CTBT would help remedy. In a 1995 article for the Bulletin of
the Atomic Scientists , Bailey wrote: "Linking the extension of
the NPT with a requirement for a timetable for nuclear disarmament
is not constructive. Disarmament will not eliminate the risk of
nuclear war, it will do little or nothing to prevent nuclear proliferation,
and it will not cement the end of the Cold War. It will fulfill
the Article VI NPT obligation and superficially end discrimination
inherent in that treaty -- but at a very high price. Because there
is now no effective verification for nuclear disarmament, potential
proliferants [sic] might be inspired to pursue nuclear weapons,
and those nations that already have them might decide to secretly
retain them." (9)
Bailey
is the author of four books: Death for Cause (1995), The UN Inspections
in Iraq: Lessons for On-Site Verification (1995), Strengthening
Nuclear Nonproliferation (1993), and Doomsday Weapons in the Hands
of Many: The Arms Control Challenge of the 90s (1991). She also
edited Weapons of Mass Destruction: Costs Versus Benefits (1994).
(1)
Death
for Cause is a fictional novel about eco-terrorists attempting to
coerce the U.S. government to change its policies. It was self-published
for friends and family. (1)
|
Institutional
Affiliations
National
Institute for Public Policy : Senior
Associate; Board of Advisers
Center
for Security Policy : National Security Advisory Council
George Mason University : Visiting
Lecturer
Cato
Institute : Wrote Cato Policy Analysis on CTBT, 1999
Government
Service
Lawrence
Livermore National Laboratory : Senior
Fellow of Center for Security and Technology Studies, 1992-1998;
First social scientist hired at LLNL, 1976-1981
Arms
Control and Disarmament Agency : Assistant Director for
Nonproliferation, 1987-1990
State
Department : Deputy Assistant Secretary for Intelligence
and Research, 1985-1987
U.S. Information
Agency : Research Director, 1983-1985
Education
University
of Illinois : Ph.D
|
